AI in Marketing

OpenAI's Circular Deal With Thrive Holdings

Written by Writing Team | Dec 4, 2025 3:42:26 PM

OpenAI just struck a deal with Thrive Holdings that should make everyone in the AI-powered services business pay very close attention. No money changed hands. Instead, OpenAI provides models, staff, and technology while Thrive—an offshoot of investor Thrive Capital—provides something potentially more valuable: access to operational data from high-volume, rules-driven workflows in IT services and accounting.

This is what it looks like when an AI company stops pretending it's just selling software and starts building the vertically integrated future it actually wants. OpenAI isn't licensing technology to Thrive. It's co-opting an entire business model to feed its training pipeline while positioning itself as the modernization engine for private equity portfolios.

It's clever. It's possibly brilliant. And it should make every service provider wondering whether to adopt AI tools also wonder whether they're becoming the training data for their own replacement.

The Economics of Circular Deals

Call it a circular deal, call it a strategic partnership, call it whatever makes the press release sound less predatory—the structure is simple: OpenAI provides the intelligence, Thrive provides the workflow access, and both parties benefit from whatever emerges when AI meets high-volume operational data.

For OpenAI, this solves a critical problem: access to real-world, high-stakes data from domains where rules matter and mistakes are expensive. IT services and accounting aren't creative fields where "good enough" is acceptable. They're precision businesses where accuracy, compliance, and repeatability determine whether you keep clients or face lawsuits.

Training models on this data makes them better at exactly the tasks that represent enormous market opportunity: automating the boring, essential work that keeps businesses running but doesn't require human creativity or judgment.

For Thrive, the deal provides access to cutting-edge AI capabilities without capital outlay, plus potential returns if the partnership generates valuable IP or operational improvements. It's private equity doing what private equity does: using other people's resources to create asymmetric upside.

IT Services and Accounting: The Perfect Testing Ground

Targeting IT services and accounting first isn't random. These are high-volume, rules-driven workflows where success is measurable, errors are quantifiable, and the value proposition of automation is obvious to anyone holding a P&L.

They're also industries where human expertise is expensive, talent is scarce, and clients are perpetually dissatisfied with turnaround times and billing rates. If OpenAI can demonstrate that AI-powered systems can handle tier-one support tickets, accounts receivable processing, or tax compliance workflows reliably and cheaply, they've unlocked enormous economic value.

And they'll have done it by training on real operational data from actual businesses, not synthetic benchmarks or academic datasets. This is how you build AI that works in production, not just in demos.

The Private Equity Modernization Engine

Positioning OpenAI as a "modernization engine for private-equity portfolios" is the real tell here. Private equity firms buy companies, optimize operations, and sell them for profit. If OpenAI can provide the technology stack that makes portfolio companies more efficient without requiring PE firms to hire armies of consultants or in-house AI teams, they've created a distribution channel that bypasses traditional enterprise sales entirely.

Instead of selling to individual companies one at a time, OpenAI sells to PE firms who then deploy across dozens or hundreds of portfolio companies. It's the ultimate scalable go-to-market strategy: let the people who specialize in operational efficiency become your sales force.

And because the deal is structured as a partnership rather than a traditional vendor relationship, OpenAI gains insights into how their models perform across different operational contexts, which industries adopt fastest, where failure modes emerge, and what features matter most to businesses trying to cut costs.

What This Means for Service Providers

If you run a professional services firm—accounting, IT support, legal process outsourcing, back-office operations—this deal should clarify the future you're facing. OpenAI isn't just building tools you might use. They're building the infrastructure to replace significant portions of your business model.

The optimistic read: AI will handle routine work, freeing your team to focus on complex, high-value client interactions that require judgment and relationship management.

The realistic read: AI will commoditize the routine work that currently pays most of your bills, forcing you to compete on the remaining margin where human expertise still commands premium rates. And that margin is shrinking.

The cynical read: Companies like OpenAI are using partnerships like this to train models on your industry's workflows, then selling those capabilities back to your clients at a fraction of your cost structure.

All three reads are probably true simultaneously.

The Training Data Gold Rush

What OpenAI is really buying here isn't access to Thrive's portfolio companies. It's access to the operational data those companies generate: support tickets, accounting ledgers, compliance checklists, error logs, resolution patterns, client communications.

This data is gold for training models because it's real, high-stakes, and annotated by outcomes. You know which support tickets got resolved successfully. You know which accounting entries were correct. You know which compliance processes passed audits.

This is what separates models that work in labs from models that work in businesses. And OpenAI is systematically gaining access to it without having to buy it outright or negotiate with hundreds of individual companies.

Where This Goes Next

If this deal works—if OpenAI's models successfully automate meaningful portions of IT services and accounting workflows for Thrive's portfolio companies—expect similar partnerships across other operational domains. Legal services. HR administration. Supply chain management. Anywhere you find high-volume, rules-driven work with measurable outcomes.

The playbook writes itself: partner with PE firms or holding companies, provide AI capabilities in exchange for data access, train better models, expand to adjacent domains, repeat.

For OpenAI, it's a way to simultaneously improve their technology and build distribution without spending on traditional sales and marketing. For their partners, it's access to AI capabilities that might deliver competitive advantage. For the industries being targeted, it's the beginning of a restructuring that will separate firms who adapt from firms who disappear.

The Uncomfortable Truth

Circular deals like this reveal something important about the AI economy we're building: the companies with the best models will increasingly be the ones with access to the best training data, and they'll get that access by becoming partners, vendors, and competitors simultaneously.

If you're adopting AI tools in your business, you're not just buying software. You're potentially providing the training data that makes those tools good enough to replace parts of what you do.

That's not a reason to avoid AI. It's a reason to be strategic about adoption and ruthlessly clear-eyed about what you're trading for efficiency gains.

Need help thinking through AI strategy that protects your competitive position while capturing real value? Let's talk.